The Great Mental Models Volume 1: General Thinking Concepts
The effort is justified only when the stakes are high and when you are particularly keen not to make mistakes. Furthermore, you should know that correcting your intuitions may complicate your life. A characteristic of unbiased predictions is that they permit the prediction of rare or extreme events only when the information is very good. If you exp
... See moreDaniel Kahneman • Thinking, Fast and Slow
