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Notes on The Psychology of Human Misjudgment by Charlie Munger — Rick Lindquist
ricklindquist.com
Another cognitive difference that appears to matter is whether you are a “rule learner…
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Mark A. McDaniel • Make It Stick: The Science of Successful Learning
A youthful appearance is an indicator of fertility. Good health suggests strong genes. On average, tall people are slightly higher in intelligence. Of course, none of this tells you anything useful about any given individual.
Richard Meadows • Optionality: How to Survive and Thrive in a Volatile World
confidence.
Kevin Dutton • The Wisdom of Psychopaths
In Asch’s study: Solomon Asch’s classic study about the pressure to conform to a group was published in Groups, Leadership, and Men, edited by Harold Guetzkow (Pittsburgh: Carnegie Press, 1951). Asch’s chapter, titled “Effects of Group Pressure upon the Modification and Distortion of Judgment,” appears on pages 177–90.
Rom Brafman • Sway: The Irresistible Pull of Irrational Behavior
What distinguishes predictive ability is not who the experts are or what they believe, but rather how they think.
Michael J. Mauboussin • Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
One reason it is so prevalent is that it is simply easier to think about people than situations. Later studies found that the tendency to neglect the situation was worse when people were distracted by doing a second task at the same time as they made their judgments. In other words, you are more likely to be blind to other people’s situations when
... See moreKeith Payne • The Broken Ladder: How Inequality Changes the Way We Think, Live and Die
The results were clear and consistent. Moderates and conservatives were most accurate in their predictions, whether they were pretending to be liberals or conservatives. Liberals were the least accurate, especially those who described themselves as “very liberal.” The biggest errors in the whole study came when liberals answered the Care and Fairne
... See moreJonathan Haidt • The Righteous Mind: Why Good People Are Divided by Politics and Religion
States with lower inequality had less implicit bias,