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futarchy.dev: what do the markets say?
futarchy-dev.vercel.appThe Prediction Trade Archives - luckbox magazine
luckboxmagazine.comA few more things to know:
- Since 1988, prediction markets have beaten professional pollsters 74% of the time.[1]
- In the corporate setting, prediction markets almost always beat expert forecasts.[2,3,4]
- Polymarket is implemented as open-source smart contracts on a public blockchain. This means that they can't manipulate the matching engine.... See more
From prediction markets to info finance
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Metaculus
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Patch | The platform scaling unified climate action
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How to make real-money prediction markets on arbitrary topics (Outdated) — LessWrong
yutakalesswrong.com