Sublime

Per this framework, main ingredient to meaningful & flourishing lives: Expand "the phenotypic bound on the amount of surprise people can tolerate in their lives," or: inhabit the goldilocks zone of uncertainty. Fun paper by @PredictiveLife & @JulianKiverste1. Few other riffs: https://t.co/C8MYZLdpti

When some systems are stuck in a dangerous impasse, randomness and only randomness can unlock them and set them free. You can see here that absence of randomness equals guaranteed death.

Theories are superfragile; they come and go, then come and go, then come and go again; phenomenologies stay, and I can’t believe people don’t realize that phenomenology is “robust” and usable, and theories, while overhyped, are unreliable for decision making—outside physics.

Not seeing a tsunami or an economic event coming is excusable; building something fragile to them is not.

Let me be more aggressive: we are largely better at doing than we are at thinking, thanks to antifragility. I’d rather be dumb and antifragile than extremely smart and fragile, any time.