Sublime

How wrong were the predictions? Florida’s cases peaked around April 8—at 1,132 a day. Cases. Not hospitalizations or deaths. As for deaths, on April 21, the state had 42, about one-sixth the number IHME had predicted for that day. Further, deaths did not rise steeply and fall, as the IHME had predicted, but instead remained mostly flat for months.

However, because of the scarcity of tests, the CDC initially recommended that people with respiratory complaints be tested only if they had a travel history to China or an exposure to a known COVID-19 case, guidance that would persist until February 27. As a result, in the six weeks after the identification of Patient Zero, only fifty-nine other ca

of government in 1967. Under pressure from these and other critical lobbies, legislators made key concessions to accommodate conservative opposition and sustain necessary funding. As part of a 1967 amendment to the Economic Opportunity Act, Congress required each center to provide care only for people below the poverty line, rather than for the com

Worst of all, by early April 2020 we had strong evidence the coronavirus essentially did not spread outdoors—and thus that making people stay inside was not just pointless but counterproductive.