The United States could produce all its power by covering 2% of its land with solar panels - for comparison, we use 20% of our land for agriculture, so this would look like Nevada specializing in farming electricity somewhat less intensely than Iowa specializes in farming corn
The text discusses the effectiveness of prediction markets, particularly the Iowa Electronic Markets, in forecasting election outcomes more accurately than traditional polls, while exploring underlying theories and debates surrounding their predictive capabilities.
A good example of this is using prediction markets to reduce LVR. Prediction markets have incredible capital efficiency for forecasting - even $10K of capital is often enough for high accuracy. Prediction markets should be efficient enough in aggregate that they can be used as on-chain oracles - incorporate exogenous price sources & prevent LPs fro... See more
Hi, by the way, we’re Hunterbrook Media: an experiment to scalably and sustainably fund investigations into under-scrutinized sectors and global news in under-covered regions.
This is an experiment — and smarter people have tried and failed to find a sustainable model.
Our hypothesis is that... See more