Futures are multiple, contested and complex. In

there is no reason to believe that we are in a better position to foresee the extent of coming technical innovations (unless, of course, you are a believer in near-imminent Singularity), the events that will shape the fortunes of nations, and the decisions (or their regrettable absence) that will determine the fate of our civilization during the ne

People try to forecast and anticipate changes as best they can, but such forecasting can never be reduced to an exact science.