Tell Me The Odds: A 15 Page Introduction To Bayes Theorem
Bayes' Theorem looks at how likely something is to happen, given that something else has already happened.
Albert Rutherford • Statistics for the Rest of Us: Mastering the Art of Understanding Data Without Math Skills (Advanced Thinking Skills Book 4)
Bayes’s much more famous work, “An Essay toward Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances,”24 was not published until after his death, when it was brought to the Royal Society’s attention in 1763 by a friend of his named Richard Price. It concerned how we formulate probabilistic beliefs about the world when we encounter new data.