
Loserthink: How Untrained Brains Are Ruining America

But there is a way forward. It is not a solution that relies on half-baked policy ideas—particularly given that I have come to view our political system as a big part of the problem. Rather, the solution requires an attitudinal change. This attitude is embodied by something called Bayes’s theorem, which I introduce in chapter 8. Bayes’s theorem is
... See moreNate Silver • The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
Security Error | Columbia Business School
www8.gsb.columbia.eduI suggested that one key to resisting an affective death spiral is the principle of “burdensome details”—just remembering to question the specific details of each additional nice claim about the Great Idea. (It’s not trivial advice. People often don’t remember to do this when they’re listening to a futurist sketching amazingly detailed projections
... See moreEliezer Yudkowsky • Rationality
Emotional reactivity d... See more