Saved by Lucas Kohorst
Let there be flow - Tanner Hoke
Prediction Markets The Future of Information
kuhn.aiOur argument in this chapter will go through the following propositions, which serve as headings for their own sections of discussion: Value is subjective; uncertainty is not risk; economic complexity resists equilibria; markets aggregate prices, not information; and, markets tend to leverage efficiency.
Sacha Meyers • Bitcoin Is Venice: Essays on the Past and Future of Capitalism
A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy
robinhanson.comPrediction markets work because traders can see all of the standard forecast data and aggregate it along with other idiosyncratic or dispersed information about the election. Traders can aggregate polling data or follow published poll aggregates, and they can add in any other information they think is relevant.