
Is Trump really 62% to win?

in McConnell, Sam had found someone as interested as he was in another existential threat to humanity: Donald Trump. Trump’s assault on the government, and on the integrity of US elections, belonged, to Sam’s way of thinking, on the same list as pandemics and artificial intelligence and climate change.
Michael Lewis • Going Infinite: The Rise and Fall of a New Tycoon

n the days leading up to the US election, pollsters had the race deadlocked. The vote was essentially a coin flip.
But over on the betting platform Polymarket, the odds were much more solidly in former President Donald Trump’s favor. On Monday, Trump led Vice President Kamala Harris 58% to 42% — a lead that, by Wednesday morning, proved to be a muc... See more
But over on the betting platform Polymarket, the odds were much more solidly in former President Donald Trump’s favor. On Monday, Trump led Vice President Kamala Harris 58% to 42% — a lead that, by Wednesday morning, proved to be a muc... See more
How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t | CNN Business
Clinton or Trump? Here's What 7 Weird Prediction Methods Say ...
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