Foresight in Challenging Environments * Journal of Futures Studies
We need to be aware that we use a kind of ‘everyday foresight’ in order to conduct our daily lives, based on certain assumptions, such as public transport being reliable, travel bookings being trustworthy, and weather forecasts being mostly right.
Jennifer M. Gidley • The Future: A Very Short Introduction (Very Short Introductions)
The connections between potential actions and actual outcomes are unclear.
Richard Rumelt • The Crux: How Leaders Become Strategists
Our practice of “futuring to the problem” (a phrase that mirrors the idea of “teaching to the test” — a colloquial term for any method of education whose curriculum is heavily focused on preparing students for a standardized test), has resulted in the development of a plethora of tools and methods in the field of foresight that are meant to help us
... See moreTFSX • The Future Thinker’s Dilemma
Les bons prévisionnistes prennent du recul vis-à-vis de la question à laquelle ils doivent répondre pour prendre en compte des événements sans aucun lien, mais présentant des similitudes structurelles plutôt que de s’en remettre à leur intuition acquise grâce à leur expérience personnelle ou dans un seul domaine d’expertise.