Farsighted: How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most
safeguard: Imagine that one of the options is off the table. Take each of the options you’re considering, and one at a time, ask yourself, “What would I do if that were not possible?”
Shane Parrish • Clear Thinking
If we don’t try to hold all the potential futures in mind before one of them happens, it becomes almost impossible to realistically evaluate decisions or probabilities after.
Annie Duke • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
