Farsighted: How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most
What makes a decision great is not that it has a great outcome. A great decision is the result of a good process, and that process must include an attempt to accurately represent our own state of knowledge. That state of knowledge, in turn, is some variation of “I’m not sure.”
Annie Duke • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Greatness Without Goals
joincolossus.comWhile you can't model a once-in-a-lifetime choice, you can model the deliberative tactics of expert decision-makers. These experts aren't just the master strategists running major companies or negotiating high-level diplomacy. They're the novelists who draw out the complexity of their characters' inner lives, the city officials who secure long-term... See more
Riverhead Books • Farsighted: How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most
In addition to increasing decision quality, scouting various futures has numerous additional benefits. First, scenario planning reminds us that the future is inherently uncertain. By making that explicit in our decision-making process, we have a more realistic view of the world. Second, we are better prepared for how we are going to respond to diff
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