Saved by Johanna
Effectiveness beats accuracy
“It is probably more important for survival that people have a stable internal model of the world than for that model to be strictly correct ,”
The Medium Newsletter • How being irrational helps us cooperate and survive
Confidence increases faster than accuracy. “The trouble with too much information,” Robinson told me, “is you can’t reason with it.” It only feeds confirmation bias. We ignore additional information that doesn’t agree with our assessment, and gain confidence from additional information that does.
Shane Parrish • Clear Thinking
confirmation bias is often the difference between sounding smart and being right. And sometimes something much, much worse.
thekcpgroup.com • The Attention Span. “Racehorses and Psychopaths.”
From the inside, via introspection, each of us feels that our beliefs are pretty damn sensible. Sure we might harbor a bit of doubt here and there. But for the most part, we imagine we have a firm grip on reality; we don't lie awake at night fearing that we're massively deluded... But when we consider the beliefs of other people? It's an epis... See more