Saved by Steve and
Chesterton’s Fence: A Lesson in Second Order Thinking
The Second-Order Thinking Mental Model
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Know What You Can’t Know. In most day-to-day decisions, cause and effect are pretty clear. If you do X, Y will happen. But in decisions that involve systems with many interacting parts, causal links are frequently unclear.
Michael J. Mauboussin • Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
By recognizing the higher-level consequences nature optimizes for, I’ve come to see that people who overweigh the first-order consequences of their decisions and ignore the effects of second- and subsequent-order consequences rarely reach their goals.
Ray Dalio • Principles: Life and Work
“There is this famous story about a university in Russia,” says Lomtadze. “First, they built the buildings. But instead of paving the roads on campus, they allowed people to find their own way. Once the trails were formed, they laid the concrete. This is how we think about our process.”