[No. 3] Brand and AUM

I loved this concept of evaluating your own potential cause of death as a venture firm. Over the last few years the number of venture firms has grown from ~900 to nearly 2,000 different firms managing $500B+ of capital. In a market correction some people predict as many as 50% of those firms could fail. One prediction I have is that as venture fund... See more

The startup ecosystem is experiencing a series of changes that can't be ignored:- cambrian explosion of funding availability- more value is being created on private markets- going from zero to one is no longer a dark art - ie more talented operators, more infrastructure to build quickly and cheaplyChange is coming to the VC ecosystem. Who will win:... See more

Funds taking a more concentrated approach and investing in fewer companies most likely are assuming that one of their investments has an extremely large outcome while the rest either go to zero or whose exits are much more modest. This is called the power law dynamic and historically, this can be seen happening often in venture capital. Funds takin... See more