Saved by Johanna
All Models Are Wrong

Any user of a map or model must realize that we do not understand a model, map, or reduction unless we understand and respect its limitations. If we don’t understand what the map does and doesn’t tell us, it can be useless or even dangerous.
Rhiannon Beaubien • The Great Mental Models Volume 1: General Thinking Concepts
The problem comes when we mistake the approximation for the reality.
Nate Silver • The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
as the statistician George Box memorably put it, “All models are wrong, but some are useful.”