A Few Lessons from Sherlock Holmes
we always try to guess the most likely explanation, keeping in the back of the mind the fact that if it doesn't work, then we must discuss the other possibilities.
Richard Feynman • "Seeking New Laws"
- When trying to get the facts, I pretend that I am collecting this information not for myself, but for some other person. This helps me to take a cold, impartial view of the evidence. This helps me eliminate my emotions. 2. While trying to collect the facts about the problem that is worrying me, I sometimes pretend that I am a lawyer preparing to ar
Dale Carnegie • How to Stop Worrying and Start Living (Dale Carnegie Books)
One of the goals of a thought experiment like this is to understand the situation enough to identify the decisions and actions that had impact. This process doesn’t provide definitive answers, such as whether the assassination did, or did not, cause World War I. What you are trying to get to is a rough idea of how much it may have contributed to st
... See moreRhiannon Beaubien • The Great Mental Models Volume 1: General Thinking Concepts
Our goal in decision-making is not just to gather information, but to gather information relevant to our decision. That requires more than building an inventory of data points; it requires understanding the why and how behind those data points—the principles that good decision-makers use in this area. Getting at those principles requires asking the
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