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Last, a mental model is an internal representation of an external reality, an incomplete representation that trades detail for speed.5 Once formed, mental models replace more cumbersome reasoning processes, but are only as good as their ability to match reality. An ill-suited mental model will lead to a decision-making fiasco.6
Michael J. Mauboussin • Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
analysts engage in a narrowing and broaden-ing process as they learn more and refine their understand-ing of an intelligence problem or situation. Their findings eventually culminated into the Elm et al Conver-gent/Divergent model
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After working with LLMs for 2 years, I’ve noticed that humans have very different short-term context windows too.
Humans with small-to-mid sized context windows develop deep “breakdown” strategies early in life to deal with virtually everything. Ways of breaking down complex problems into smaller steps that can be chained. Their brains contain an ... See more
you develop a theory or hypothesis that makes sense, is logically consistent, and could—if accurate—explain why the system is generating the problems you see.