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These are all highly contestable statements.
W. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
It traditionally assumed that firms were independent, and so changes would be independent, and so their sizes and aggregate effects would be distributed normally.
W. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
cooperation at scale. The state, business, and civil society all have roles to play in creating the
W. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
here: these very actions of agents’ exploring, changing, adapting, and experimenting further change the outcome, and they’d have to then re-adapt and re-adjust.
W. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
that people—or, if you like, automata, algorithms—can and do act in situations that are not well defined.
W. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
Individual behavior leads to aggregate outcomes, and aggregate outcomes—the aggregate patterns in the economy—cause this individual behavior to adapt and change.
W. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
Each company is trying to figure out how to strategize, how much to invest, what the technology should be. In a case like that, it’s not at equilibrium.
W. Brian Arthur • Complexity Economics: Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium
The point is that underlying technologies change, but, after a point, technology market shares don’t change and so they’re highly predictable.