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Michael Lewis Going Infinite: The Rise and Fall of a New Tycoon

Nate Silver The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting — LessWrong

Peter Mühlbacherlesswrong.com
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Mental health pandemic

open.substack.com
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LessWrong

lesswrong.com
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Michael Lewis Going Infinite: The Rise and Fall of a New Tycoon

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. The Black Swan: The impact of the highly improbable. Random House, 2007.

David Aldousstat.berkeley.edu