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Three conditions must be in place: diversity, aggregation, and incentives. Each condition clicks into the equation. Diversity reduces the collective error. Aggregation assures that the market considers everyone’s information. Incentives help reduce individual errors by encouraging people to participate only when they think they have an insight.
Michael J. Mauboussin • Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
The best manager is often neither the most outstanding professional, the best business getter, nor even the best “financial brain.”
David H. Maister • Managing The Professional Service Firm
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Michael Lewis • Going Infinite: The Rise and Fall of a New Tycoon
Kagle gently cautioned Beirne: “We all have our blind spots, right? Our greatest strength is our greatest weakness. And I think in this case, Dave, we’re all conscious of the fact that there’s a lot of marquee players around this thing. You’re all about marquee players. So we need to make sure that you’re not getting too colored by that relative to
... See moreRandall E. Stross • eBoys: The First Inside Account of Venture Capitalists at Work
Seth Klarman • Seth A. Klarman remarks at MIT
Michael Mauboussin — How Great Investors Make Decisions, Harnessing The Wisdom (vs. Madness) of Crowds, Lessons from Race Horses, and More (#659) - The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
tim.blogThey convincingly argue that we can easily nudge people toward a particular decision based solely on how we arrange the choices for them.
Michael J. Mauboussin • Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
INVESTORS, we deceive ourselves a thousand different ways, both small and large. We attribute gains to acumen when they are the product of luck, and attribute losses to ill fortune when they are often the product of stupidity or inattention. We believe that the market remembers or cares about the price we paid for a stock, or that our stocks will g
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