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Overall, the predictions for the four cities were reasonably good, but were toward the lower end of Hansen’s range. His global temperature predictions are harder to evaluate because they articulated a plethora of scenarios that relied on different assumptions, but they were also somewhat too high.76 Even the most…
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Nate Silver • The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
Ezra Klein • Opinion | A Crypto Optimist Meets a Crypto Skeptic (Published 2021)

No one can say exactly how hot the world can get before out-and-out disaster—the inundation of a populous country like Bangladesh, say, or the collapse of crucial ecosystems like coral reefs—becomes inevitable. Officially, the threshold of catastrophe is an average global temperature rise of 2°C (3.6°F). Virtually every nation signed on to this fig
... See moreElizabeth Kolbert • Under a White Sky
Hope vs. Climate Chaos
Sirnesto • 21 cards
Alexander Obenauer
alexanderobenauer.com