The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
Neil Howeamazon.com
The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
Nor is the typical civil war triggered by a single urgent or “forcing” question of law or policy. Rather, it happens after one faction comes to fear that power wielded by the other will lead to the inevitable demise of its identity, its status, and its way of life—at which point the trigger could be almost anything.
Neil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
Sensing that the price of failure is permanent marginalization, partisans on each side are girding for a crisis in which they are ready to break any guardrails to prevail. Everything is now on the table: gerrymandering, tilting election rules, subpoenas, impeachments, nuking the filibuster, packing the Supreme Court, and—in extremis—mobilizing mobs
... See moreNeil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
The average date here is 2028. Recall from Chapters 3 and 4 that a new turning typically arrives four years after each generation begins to enter a new phase of life. This would point to the Millennial Crisis ending in 2032.
Neil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
In writing this book, my key objective was to answer the questions today’s readers most want answered: When did our current Fourth Turning (or Crisis era) begin? How has it evolved? Where is it going? And how will it end?
Neil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
Beset as they are at home, Americans are also feeling new vulnerabilities about their place in the world and new threats from abroad. That’s the third driver.
Neil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
Even more than in earlier Crisis eras, this transition from leveraged personal consumption to unleveraged national investment will require unaccustomed sacrifice and wrenching lifestyle adjustments from most Americans. Never before has America approached a major national trial with such a low rate of economic growth, with such a meager savings rate
... See moreNeil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
Above all, civil wars (or, alternatively, “revolutions”) begin when one or both sides are persuaded of the irreversibility of future events once the other side gains further advantage.
Neil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
(By 2017, governments in thirty nations were paying troll armies to sway public opinion online.)
Neil Howe • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
Blue zone residents increasingly “over-index” for CNN, Whole Foods, Target, Chipotle, Levi’s, Starbucks, NBA, REI, Honda, and Tesla. Red zoners do likewise for Fox News, Walmart, Dollar Tree, Chick-fil-A, Wrangler, Dunkin’ Donuts, NASCAR, Dollar Store, Bass Pro Shops, GMC, and Land Rover.