
How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

What makes a decision great is not that it has a great outcome. A great decision is the result of a good process, and that process must include an attempt to accurately represent our own state of knowledge. That state of knowledge, in turn, is some variation of “I’m not sure.”
Annie Duke • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Considering what motivates the decisions of others, especially when those decisions affect you, is also essential. Incentives matter. Take a negotiation course, because skilled negotiators are masters at figuring out what is important to the other party and arriving at mutually beneficial solutions. Even if you are not dealing directly with another
... See moreMichael J. Mauboussin • Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
The key to understanding the limits to our knowledge (circle of competence) is to check the results of our decisions against what we thought was going to happen and why we thought it was going to happen. That feedback loop is incredibly powerful because our minds won’t provide it by themselves
Not all decisions need to be journaled. Decisi... See more
Not all decisions need to be journaled. Decisi... See more
Shane Parrish • Creating a Decision Journal
A very small subset of your decisions are one-way doors. Non-reversible portals into bad realities. These ones should take you more time. They require more information.