The Diff | Byrne Hobart | Substack

A few months ago I was at a conference where Robin Hanson spoke about prediction markets.[1] He argued that given how much of companies' outcomes are driven by who they choose to hire, and how non-rigorous the process of selecting employees and revisiting those selections is, there's a literal trillion-dollar opportunity in getting it right. Predic... See more

The core group of traditional expert users are investors and consulting firms, who make up 70–80% of traditional expert network demand today. And this group is well covered by entrenched market incumbents.